Pirates at Nationals
PIT5–
WSH6Last play · Jared Triolo flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
Win probability
Nationals100%
PIT 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 0 WSH
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dylan Crews homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jacob Young scores. (inning 7) — +44% Nationals
9Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Nick Yorke scores. Alexander Canario out at home on the throw, left fielder James Wood to catcher Jorge Alfaro. Joey Bart to 2nd.5–6
9Nick Yorke singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Nick Gonzales scores.4–6
7Josh Bell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds, deflected by center fielder Oneil Cruz. Robert Hassell III scores. James Wood scores. Josh Bell to 2nd. Josh Bell advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.3–6
7Dylan Crews homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jacob Young scores.3–4
6Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.3–2
6Brady House homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–1
5Spencer Horwitz homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Jared Triolo scores.3–0
3Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Jared Triolo scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.