White Sox at Guardians
Last play · Andrew Benintendi flies out sharply to center fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CWS 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Guardians favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Kayfus homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores. (inning 2) — +25% Guardians
8Jhonkensy Noel homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
2CJ Kayfus homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores.1–2
1Lenyn Sosa singles on a line drive to left fielder Nolan Jones. Chase Meidroth scores. Edgar Quero to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
