Angels at Mariners
Last play · Logan Davidson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
LAA 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 1 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan Davidson doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles, deflected by first baseman Luke Raley. Luis Rengifo scores. (inning 7) — -22% Angels
7Mitch Garver homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
7Logan Davidson doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Robles, deflected by first baseman Luke Raley. Luis Rengifo scores.1–1
4Jorge Polanco doubles (24) on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Cal Raleigh scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
