Reds at Athletics
Last play · Noelvi Marte flies out to left fielder Colby Thomas.
Win probability
Athletics100%
CIN 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 5 – 5 ATH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Stephenson homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Gavin Lux scores. Sal Stewart scores. (inning 4) — -31% Reds
8Nick Kurtz hits a grand slam (31) to center field. Colby Thomas scores. Lawrence Butler scores. Shea Langeliers scores.5–11
8Lawrence Butler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Noelvi Marte. Darell Hernaiz scores. Colby Thomas to 3rd.5–7
7Jacob Wilson doubles (23) on a line drive to center fielder Will Benson. Shea Langeliers scores. Brent Rooker out at home on the throw, center fielder Will Benson to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to catcher Tyler Stephenson. Jacob Wilson to 3rd.5–6
4Tyler Stephenson homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Gavin Lux scores. Sal Stewart scores.5–5
3Jacob Wilson hits a ground-rule double (22) on a ground ball to first base. Shea Langeliers scores. Brent Rooker to 3rd.2–5
3Brent Rooker walks.2–4
2Carlos Cortes homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Darell Hernaiz scores.2–3
2Brent Rooker homers (28) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
