Rays at Cubs

Scoreboard

TB5–CHC4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · TB 73-75 · CHC 84-64

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	5	14	0
CHC	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	6	0

Last play · Ian Happ strikes out swinging, catcher Nick Fortes to first baseman Tristan Gray.

Win probability

Cubs0%

TB 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 1 – 3 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Nick Fortes homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — -46% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–CHC · 8 total

9Nick Fortes homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.5–4

8Junior Caminero homers (43) on a line drive to center field.4–4

7Michael Busch homers (27) on a fly ball to center field.3–4

6Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Brandon Lowe scores.3–3

6Brandon Lowe doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Yandy Díaz scores.2–3

5Richie Palacios grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Bob Seymour scores.1–3

4Dansby Swanson doubles (22) on a line drive to left fielder Richie Palacios. Nico Hoerner scores. Moisés Ballesteros scores.0–3

2Moisés Ballesteros homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.