D-backs at Twins
Last play · Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Twins0%
AZ 100%MIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 0 MIN
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kody Clemens singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. (inning 8) — +45% Twins
10Blaze Alexander doubles (11) on a fly ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd.5–2
10Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brooks Lee. Jorge Barrosa scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.3–2
8Kody Clemens singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.2–2
4Alek Thomas homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Adrian Del Castillo scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
