Pirates at Nationals
Last play · Daylen Lile pops out to shortstop Liover Peguero.
Win probability
Nationals0%
PIT 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 0 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Liover Peguero scores. Tommy Pham scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd. (inning 8) — -52% Pirates
9Jared Triolo homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.5–1
8Nick Yorke singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews, deflected by second baseman Luis García Jr. Bryan Reynolds scores. Andrew McCutchen scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.4–1
8Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Liover Peguero scores. Tommy Pham scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.2–1
6Robert Hassell III singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Dylan Crews scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
