Angels at Mariners
Last play · Logan Davidson called out on strikes.
Win probability
Mariners100%
LAA 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 2 – 5 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell, deflected by first baseman Logan Davidson. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd. (inning 5) — +18% Mariners
9Taylor Ward homers (31) on a fly ball to left field.3–5
5Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell, deflected by first baseman Logan Davidson. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Jorge Polanco to 3rd.2–5
4J.P. Crawford homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
2Bryce Teodosio singles on a line drive to right fielder Victor Robles. Christian Moore scores. Sebastián Rivero to 3rd.2–2
2Jo Adell homers (36) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
1Jorge Polanco doubles (25) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
