Tigers at Marlins
DET2–
MIA0Last play · Javier Sanoja called out on strikes.
Win probability
Marlins0%
DET 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 0 MIA
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Marlins favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Eric Wagaman. Spencer Torkelson scores. Colt Keith to 3rd. Colt Keith advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Maximo Acosta. Colt Keith advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Troy Johnston. (inning 2) — -15% Tigers
2Dillon Dingler singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Colt Keith scores.2–0
2Colt Keith reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Eric Wagaman. Spencer Torkelson scores. Colt Keith to 3rd. Colt Keith advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Maximo Acosta. Colt Keith advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by left fielder Troy Johnston.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.