Yankees at Red Sox
Last play · José Caballero strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
NYY 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Giancarlo Stanton strikes out swinging. (inning 2) — -12% Yankees
7José Caballero homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.4–6
5Aaron Judge homers (48) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
4Amed Rosario homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores.2–6
1Carlos Narváez homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.0–6
1Rob Refsnyder grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Romy Gonzalez scores.0–5
1Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cody Bellinger. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd.0–4
1Romy Gonzalez doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Trevor Story scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.0–3
1Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Slater. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story to 2nd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
