Pirates at Nationals
Last play · Bryan Reynolds strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
PIT 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 3 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daylen Lile doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. James Wood scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz. (inning 8) — +29% Nationals
8Daylen Lile doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. James Wood scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Oneil Cruz.3–4
2Jacob Young singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Paul DeJong scores. Jacob Young to 2nd.3–3
2Nasim Nuñez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Andrés Chaparro scores.3–2
2Paul DeJong doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Tommy Pham. Daylen Lile scores. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd.3–1
1Oneil Cruz singles on a line drive to right fielder Robert Hassell III.3–0
1Nick Gonzales triples (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Robert Hassell III. Jared Triolo scores. Spencer Horwitz scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
