Angels at Mariners
Last play · Christian Moore strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
LAA 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 11 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Mariners favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (54) on a line drive to left center field. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — +17% Mariners
6Oswald Peraza homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.2–11
5Christian Moore homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–11
4J.P. Crawford doubles (23) on a line drive to center fielder Bryce Teodosio. Dominic Canzone scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd.0–11
4Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to center fielder Bryce Teodosio. Josh Naylor scores. Jorge Polanco scores.0–10
4Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–8
4Julio Rodríguez doubles (30) on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. J.P. Crawford scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.0–6
3Dominic Canzone singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Jorge Polanco scores.0–5
3Josh Naylor out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Bryce Teodosio. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
