Orioles at White Sox
Last play · Miguel Vargas pops out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BAL 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 1 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Coby Mayo scores. Samuel Basallo scores. (inning 6) — -39% Orioles
6Colton Cowser homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Coby Mayo scores. Samuel Basallo scores.4–1
3Jeremiah Jackson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dominic Fletcher. Samuel Basallo scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd.1–1
1Curtis Mead singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Mike Tauchman scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
