Phillies at Dodgers
Last play · Max Muncy grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
PHI 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 3 LAD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Dodgers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (25) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 9) — +42% Dodgers
10J.T. Realmuto out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alex Call. Harrison Bader scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.6–5
9Andy Pages homers (25) on a fly ball to left field.5–5
8Bryce Harper homers (27) on a fly ball to center field.5–4
7Mookie Betts homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field.4–4
7Weston Wilson homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Bryson Stott scores.4–3
7Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Otto Kemp scores.2–3
5Mookie Betts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Harrison Bader. Chuckie Robinson scores. Shohei Ohtani to 3rd.1–3
5Max Muncy homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
