Athletics at Red Sox
Last play · Romy Gonzalez grounds into a double play, second baseman Zack Gelof to shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Ceddanne Rafaela out at 2nd. Romy Gonzalez out at 1st.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
ATH 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 0 – 1 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler Soderstrom doubles (31) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jacob Wilson scores. (inning 6) — -17% Athletics
6Brett Harris singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Carlos Cortes to 3rd.2–1
6Tyler Soderstrom doubles (31) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Jacob Wilson scores.1–1
3Carlos Narváez doubles (26) on a fly ball to left fielder Max Schuemann, deflected by center fielder Lawrence Butler. Rob Refsnyder scores. Fielding error by center fielder Lawrence Butler.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
