Giants at D-backs
SF1–
AZ8Last play · Matt Chapman pops out to second baseman Ketel Marte.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SF 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 1 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ildemaro Vargas singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ildemaro Vargas out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Drew Gilbert to first baseman Rafael Devers to shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Casey Schmitt. Blaze Alexander to 3rd. (inning 6) — +31% D-backs
8Geraldo Perdomo doubles (28) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jake McCarthy scores.1–8
6Geraldo Perdomo triples (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jake McCarthy scores.1–7
6James McCann homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jordan Lawlar scores.1–6
6Jordan Lawlar doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Blaze Alexander scores.1–4
6Ildemaro Vargas singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Drew Gilbert. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Ildemaro Vargas out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Drew Gilbert to first baseman Rafael Devers to shortstop Willy Adames to second baseman Casey Schmitt. Blaze Alexander to 3rd.1–3
3Casey Schmitt homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Blaze Alexander strikes out swinging.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.