Braves at Nationals
Last play · Paul DeJong grounds out, third baseman Vidal Bruján to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Nationals0%
ATL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 0 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Nationals favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Michael Harris II scores. (inning 10) — -28% Braves
10Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Crews. Matt Olson scores.5–0
10Matt Olson triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Drake Baldwin scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Jurickson Profar scores.4–0
10Drake Baldwin doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Michael Harris II scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
