Orioles at White Sox
Last play · Colson Montgomery strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
BAL 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 6 – 2 CWS
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
White Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Samuel Basallo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Coby Mayo scores. (inning 4) — -26% Orioles
8Andrew Benintendi homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Lenyn Sosa scores.8–7
8Lenyn Sosa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Miguel Vargas scores. Mike Tauchman scores.8–5
8Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging. Chase Meidroth scores. Miguel Vargas to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Chayce McDermott.8–3
7Dylan Beavers homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jordan Westburg scores.8–2
5Dylan Beavers triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Gunnar Henderson scores.6–2
5Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to center fielder Brooks Baldwin. Jeremiah Jackson scores.5–2
4Samuel Basallo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Coby Mayo scores.4–2
3Gunnar Henderson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Jeremiah Jackson scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
