Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Trey Sweeney lines out to center fielder Angel Martínez.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 1 DET
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (26) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 9) — +42% Tigers
10Spencer Torkelson homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field. Gleyber Torres scores.7–5
10Gabriel Arias singles on a fly ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.7–3
10José Ramírez hits a ground-rule double (30) on a line drive down the left-field line. Angel Martínez scores.6–3
10Angel Martínez triples (2) on a line drive to center fielder Parker Meadows. Steven Kwan scores.5–3
10Steven Kwan doubles (27) on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Brayan Rocchio scores.4–3
9Kerry Carpenter homers (26) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
6Dillon Dingler grounds into a force out, third baseman José Ramírez to second baseman Brayan Rocchio. Riley Greene scores. Colt Keith out at 2nd. Dillon Dingler to 1st.3–2
6Bo Naylor doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. José Ramírez scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
