We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Twins favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham homers (31) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Wells scores. (inning 2) — -15% Yankees
9Trevor Larnach homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.10–9
6Trevor Larnach out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Aaron Judge. Byron Buxton scores.10–8
6Ryan Fitzgerald homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Mickey Gasper scores.10–7
6Mickey Gasper singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Matt Wallner scores.10–5
5Kody Clemens walks.10–4
5James Outman homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan Fitzgerald scores.10–3
4Anthony Volpe singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.10–1
3Ben Rice doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Austin Wells scores.9–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.