Angels at Brewers
Last play · Logan O'Hoppe flies out sharply to center fielder Blake Perkins.
Win probability
Brewers100%
LAA 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 1 – 5 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Brewers favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Caleb Durbin scores. (inning 2) — +10% Brewers
8William Contreras singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Sal Frelick scores. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.2–9
8Jackson Chourio singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Blake Perkins scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.2–7
7Andrew Vaughn doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Brice Turang scores.2–6
7Christian Moore homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.2–5
5Denzer Guzman homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–5
4Christian Yelich homers (29) on a fly ball to center field. Sal Frelick scores.0–5
3Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. William Contreras scores. Andrew Vaughn to 2nd.0–3
2Sal Frelick out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Caleb Durbin scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
