Giants at D-backs
Last play · Jordan Lawlar singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Wilmer Flores. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SF 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 5 – 5 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
D-backs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adrian Del Castillo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Blaze Alexander scores. (inning 2) — +21% D-backs
9Jordan Lawlar singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Wilmer Flores. Corbin Carroll scores. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.5–6
5Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.5–5
5Ketel Marte singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jerar Encarnacion. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 3rd.5–4
3Wilmer Flores homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3
2Adrian Del Castillo homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Blaze Alexander scores.4–3
2Blaze Alexander singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jerar Encarnacion. Gabriel Moreno scores.4–1
1Jerar Encarnacion doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Wilmer Flores scores. Casey Schmitt scores.4–0
1Wilmer Flores singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Rafael Devers scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
