Marlins at Rockies
Last play · Hunter Goodman lines out to third baseman Connor Norby.
Win probability
Rockies0%
MIA 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 COL
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jakob Marsee doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Javier Sanoja scores. Agustín Ramírez scores. (inning 3) — -21% Marlins
9Mickey Moniak singles on a ground ball to first baseman Eric Wagaman. Kyle Karros scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd. Throwing error by first baseman Eric Wagaman.6–5
9Yanquiel Fernández out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dane Myers. Brenton Doyle scores.6–4
8Mickey Moniak homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Karros scores. Tyler Freeman scores.6–3
6Javier Sanoja doubles (21) on a ground ball to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Dane Myers scores.6–0
6Dane Myers doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Heriberto Hernández scores. Eric Wagaman scores.5–0
3Jakob Marsee doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Javier Sanoja scores. Agustín Ramírez scores.3–0
3Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Joey Wiemer scores. Javier Sanoja to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
