Guardians at Tigers
Last play · Matt Vierling strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
CLE 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 DET
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Fry homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 7) — -40% Guardians
9Jace Jung grounds out softly, second baseman Andrés Giménez to pitcher Emmanuel Clase. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores.5–4
9David Fry hits a sacrifice bunt. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 2nd. David Fry to 1st.5–3
7David Fry homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Steven Kwan scores.4–3
6Wenceel Pérez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Kerry Carpenter scores. Riley Greene to 3rd.2–3
5Zach McKinstry homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
5José Ramírez homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
2Trey Sweeney out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Colt Keith scores.1–1
1Lane Thomas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Vierling. Steven Kwan scores. Kyle Manzardo to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
