Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Colt Keith grounds out, first baseman Josh Naylor to pitcher Emmanuel Clase.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
5.5
opened 5.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Steven Kwan scores. David Fry scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — +35% Guardians
8Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Parker Meadows. Andrés Giménez scores.3–7
7Lane Thomas singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Colt Keith. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 2nd.3–6
7Colt Keith doubles (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Riley Greene scores.3–5
6Jake Rogers singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Spencer Torkelson scores. Parker Meadows to 3rd.2–5
5Lane Thomas hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Steven Kwan scores. David Fry scores. José Ramírez scores.1–5
5José Ramírez hit by pitch. Andrés Giménez scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. David Fry to 2nd.1–1
5Kerry Carpenter singles on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Trey Sweeney scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
