Tigers at Guardians
Last play · David Fry called out on strikes.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 0 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
5.5
opened 6.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Rogers scores. Trey Sweeney scores. (inning 9) — -47% Tigers
9Kerry Carpenter homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jake Rogers scores. Trey Sweeney scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
