Padres at Dodgers
Last play · Gavin Lux strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Dodgers0%
SD 100%LAD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 1 LAD
Padres led after 5
Dodgers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Peralta homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — -18% Padres
9Max Muncy homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.10–2
9Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Luis Arraez scores.10–1
9Kyle Higashioka homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.8–1
8Xander Bogaerts homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.7–1
8Jackson Merrill homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Manny Machado scores.6–1
6Jackson Merrill singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.4–1
2Gavin Lux out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Teoscar Hernández scores.3–1
2David Peralta homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jackson Merrill scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
