Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Gavin Lux strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 6 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Teoscar Hernández hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Andy Pages scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 3) — -31% Dodgers
3Teoscar Hernández hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Andy Pages scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Mookie Betts scores.5–6
2Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–6
2Kyle Higashioka out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tommy Edman. David Peralta scores.1–4
2David Peralta doubles (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Mookie Betts. Jackson Merrill scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.1–3
2Xander Bogaerts reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Miguel Rojas. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.1–1
1Mookie Betts homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
