Mets at Phillies
Last play · Nick Castellanos singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
NYM 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 0 PHI
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Bryce Harper scores. Nick Castellanos scores. (inning 8) — +61% Phillies
9Nick Castellanos singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd.6–7
9Mark Vientos homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Francisco Lindor scores.6–6
8J.T. Realmuto reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Mark Vientos. Bryson Stott scores.4–6
8Bryson Stott triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Bryce Harper scores. Nick Castellanos scores.4–5
7Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a line drive to right center field.4–3
6Nick Castellanos homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
6Bryce Harper homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores.3–2
6Pete Alonso homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
