Phillies at Mets
Last play · Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 0 NYM
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Starling Marte scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Alvarez scores. (inning 6) — +51% Mets
6Francisco Lindor hits a grand slam (1) to center field. Starling Marte scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Alvarez scores.1–4
4Alec Bohm reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Mark Vientos. Bryce Harper scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. Fielding error by third baseman Mark Vientos.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
