Padres at D-backs
Last play · Corbin Carroll grounds out, pitcher Stephen Kolek to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
Win probability
D-backs0%
SD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 0 AZ
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Luis Arraez scores. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd. (inning 1) — -12% Padres
9Gabriel Moreno singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Kevin Newman scores. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd.13–1
9Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, shortstop Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pavin Smith. Luis Campusano scores.13–0
9Luis Campusano doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Jackson Merrill scores.12–0
7Ha-Seong Kim homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Merrill scores. Luis Campusano scores.11–0
7Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Xander Bogaerts scores.8–0
7Jurickson Profar homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Manny Machado scores.7–0
7Manny Machado doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.5–0
4Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Xander Bogaerts scores. Luis Campusano to 2nd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








