Padres at D-backs
Last play · Jake Cronenworth flies out to left fielder Randal Grichuk.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SD 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 11 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
D-backs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ketel Marte homers (6) on a line drive to right center field. Jake McCarthy scores. (inning 1) — +17% D-backs
5Tucker Barnhart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Corbin Carroll scores. Kevin Newman to 3rd.4–11
4Joc Pederson homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Christian Walker scores.4–10
4Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Jake McCarthy scores.4–8
4Jake McCarthy doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tucker Barnhart scores.4–7
3Manny Machado grounds into a double play, shortstop Kevin Newman to second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Christian Walker. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jake Cronenworth out at 2nd. Manny Machado out at 1st.4–6
2Christian Walker doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jake McCarthy scores.3–6
2Jake McCarthy singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Tucker Barnhart scores.3–5
2Kyle Higashioka doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Ha-Seong Kim scores.3–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








