Reds at D-backs
Last play · Jake McCarthy grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Mike Ford.
Win probability
D-backs0%
CIN 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 4 – 2 AZ
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
D-backs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Benson homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Conner Capel scores. (inning 5) — -27% Reds
6Stuart Fairchild singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Jake Fraley scores. Santiago Espinal to 2nd.6–2
6Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jake Fraley to 3rd.5–2
5Will Benson homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Conner Capel scores.4–2
4Jeimer Candelario singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd.2–2
4Jake Fraley out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Mike Ford scores.1–2
3Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Jake McCarthy scores. Kevin Newman scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








