Reds at D-backs
Last play · Kevin Newman singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CIN 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 3 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
D-backs favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kevin Newman singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd. (inning 9) — +55% D-backs
9Kevin Newman singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Gabriel Moreno scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.5–6
8Mike Ford triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Jeimer Candelario scores.5–4
8Reds challenged (catch or drop), call on the field was overturned: Jeimer Candelario singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Spencer Steer scores.4–4
7Eugenio Suárez singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Christian Walker scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd.3–4
6Mike Ford singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Tyler Stephenson scores. Jeimer Candelario to 2nd.3–3
3Pavin Smith out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Christian Walker scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.2–3
3Joc Pederson homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
3Spencer Steer doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Pavin Smith. Santiago Espinal scores. Elly De La Cruz scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








