Marlins at D-backs
Last play · Christian Walker flies out sharply to center fielder Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Win probability
D-backs0%
MIA 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 AZ
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -175
D-backs favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jake Burger scores. Tim Anderson to 2nd. (inning 2) — -25% Marlins
4Jake Burger homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jake Burger scores. Tim Anderson to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
