Giants at D-backs
Last play · Pavin Smith homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jake McCarthy scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SF 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
D-backs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pavin Smith homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jake McCarthy scores. (inning 9) — +24% D-backs
9Pavin Smith homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Jake McCarthy scores.2–4
7Heliot Ramos homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
4Matt Chapman doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Brett Wisely scores.1–2
2Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–2
2Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














