Twins at D-backs
Last play · Ryan Jeffers lines out sharply to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Win probability
D-backs100%
MIN 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
D-backs favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Santana scores. Byron Buxton scores. (inning 7) — -41% Twins
7Ketel Marte singles on a ground ball to second baseman Willi Castro. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Corbin Carroll to 2nd.4–5
7Ryan Jeffers homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Carlos Santana scores. Byron Buxton scores.4–4
5Byron Buxton homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–4
2Tucker Barnhart singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–4
2Eugenio Suárez triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Jake McCarthy scores.0–3
1Ketel Marte homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Corbin Carroll scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














