Braves at D-backs
Last play · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. lines out to left fielder Eli White.
Win probability
D-backs0%
ATL 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 AZ
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
D-backs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sean Murphy homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Eddie Rosario scores. (inning 9) — -44% Braves
11Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Austin Riley scores.5–4
10Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Jake McCarthy scores.4–4
10Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Zack Short scores.4–3
9Sean Murphy homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Eddie Rosario scores.3–3
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Ketel Marte scores. Joc Pederson to 3rd. Christian Walker to 2nd.1–3
6Christian Walker walks. Corbin Carroll scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd. Joc Pederson to 2nd.1–2
6Corbin Carroll singles on a line drive to left fielder Eddie Rosario. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–1
1Austin Riley homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














