Blue Jays at D-backs
Last play · Ernie Clement grounds out, second baseman Kevin Newman to first baseman Christian Walker.
Win probability
D-backs100%
TOR 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 5 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
D-backs favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Herrera singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% D-backs
8Corbin Carroll homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Alek Thomas scores.1–12
8Eugenio Suárez homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–10
7Corbin Carroll homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Alek Thomas scores. Jose Herrera scores.1–8
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Corbin Carroll scores. Ketel Marte to 3rd. Christian Walker to 2nd.1–5
4Ketel Marte singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Jose Herrera scores. Corbin Carroll to 3rd.1–4
2Corbin Carroll out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder George Springer. Eugenio Suárez scores.1–3
2Jose Herrera singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.1–2
2Alejandro Kirk out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Daulton Varsho scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














