Pirates at D-backs
Last play · Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs100%
PIT 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 3 – 1 AZ
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -175
D-backs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joshua Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Andrew McCutchen scores. Nick Gonzales scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd. (inning 1) — -22% Pirates
6Alek Thomas grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Connor Joe.3–4
6Gabriel Moreno singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Joshua Palacios. Christian Walker scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd.3–3
6Joc Pederson homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
3Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Corbin Carroll scores.3–1
2Andrew McCutchen doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Joey Bart scores.3–0
1Joshua Palacios singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Andrew McCutchen scores. Nick Gonzales scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














