Last play · Corbin Carroll homers (8) on a line drive to right center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.
Win probability
D-backs100%
WSH 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
WSH 6 – 2 AZ
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
+140 / -165
D-backs favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll homers (8) on a line drive to right center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. (inning 9) — +55% D-backs
9Corbin Carroll homers (8) on a line drive to right center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.8–9
9Ketel Marte homers (24) on a line drive to right field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.8–7
9Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alex Call. Alek Thomas scores.8–5
8Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Gabriel Moreno scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 2nd.8–4
7Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood, deflected by second baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Eugenio Suárez scores.8–3
6Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Harold Ramírez scores. James Wood to 2nd.8–2
6Harold Ramírez hits a ground-rule double (6) on a line drive to right field. Trey Lipscomb scores.7–2
5Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Eugenio Suárez scores.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.