Pirates at D-backs
PIT5–
AZ9Last play · Ji Hwan Bae flies out to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Win probability
D-backs100%
PIT 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 4 – 6 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
D-backs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joc Pederson triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Christian Walker scores. (inning 6) — +17% D-backs
6Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Joc Pederson scores.5–9
6Joc Pederson triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Christian Walker scores.5–8
6Connor Joe grounds out softly, pitcher Brandon Pfaadt to first baseman Christian Walker. Oneil Cruz scores.5–6
5Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Eugenio Suárez scores.4–6
5Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Jake McCarthy scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.4–5
5Michael A. Taylor singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ketel Marte. Joey Bart scores. Michael A. Taylor out at 2nd, first baseman Christian Walker.4–4
5Ji Hwan Bae out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Joey Bart to 3rd.3–4
5Joey Bart doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Joshua Palacios scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.