Phillies at D-backs
Last play · Adrian Del Castillo homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
D-backs100%
PHI 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
D-backs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Johan Rojas doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nick Castellanos scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd. (inning 8) — -26% Phillies
9Adrian Del Castillo homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–3
8Johan Rojas doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nick Castellanos scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.2–2
7Bryce Harper homers (26) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
3Joc Pederson homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Adrian Del Castillo singles on a fly ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Corbin Carroll scores. Josh Bell to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
