Phillies at D-backs
Last play · Kyle Schwarber grounds out, first baseman Josh Bell to pitcher Paul Sewald.
Win probability
D-backs100%
PHI 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 8 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 41.1% · hold 5.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
D-backs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adrian Del Castillo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Josh Bell scores. Eugenio Suárez scores. (inning 3) — +23% D-backs
7Corbin Carroll homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake McCarthy scores.5–12
7Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Geraldo Perdomo scores.5–10
7Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Brandon Marsh scores.5–9
7Cal Stevenson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. J.T. Realmuto scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.4–9
7Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.3–9
6Kevin Newman doubles (17) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Eugenio Suárez scores. Adrian Del Castillo to 3rd.2–9
5Jake McCarthy triples (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Kevin Newman scores. Alek Thomas scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.2–8
3Geraldo Perdomo grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
