Mets at D-backs
Last play · Jake McCarthy pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
Win probability
D-backs0%
NYM 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
D-backs favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Tyrone Taylor scores. (inning 9) — -34% Mets
9Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Tyrone Taylor scores.3–2
6Francisco Lindor homers (28) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
3Randal Grichuk homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–2
2Pete Alonso homers (29) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
