Red Sox at Braves
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
BOS 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 5 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -200
Braves favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson scores. (inning 1) — +24% Braves
3Marcell Ozuna homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–5
1Orlando Arcia homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–4
1Marcell Ozuna homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Riley scores. Matt Olson scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








