Red Sox at Braves
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
BOS 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcell Ozuna singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Ozzie Albies scores. Austin Riley to 3rd. (inning 8) — +29% Braves
8Orlando Arcia grounds into a force out, first baseman Garrett Cooper to shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela. Austin Riley scores. Marcell Ozuna out at 2nd. Orlando Arcia to 1st.2–4
8Marcell Ozuna singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Ozzie Albies scores. Austin Riley to 3rd.2–3
6Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to third baseman Austin Riley, deflected by pitcher Aaron Bummer. Vaughn Grissom scores. Garrett Cooper to 3rd. Reese McGuire to 2nd.2–2
6Reese McGuire walks. Wilyer Abreu scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd. Garrett Cooper to 2nd.1–2
3Jarred Kelenic homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Travis d'Arnaud scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








