Cubs at Braves
Last play · Mike Tauchman pops out to second baseman Ozzie Albies.
Win probability
Braves100%
CHC 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 7 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -200
Braves favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 4) — +15% Braves
4Matt Olson homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Ozzie Albies scores.0–7
4Marcell Ozuna out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Mike Tauchman. Zack Short scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 3rd.0–4
4Ronald Acuña Jr. reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Miles Mastrobuoni to catcher Miguel Amaya. Jarred Kelenic out at home.0–3
4Michael Harris II homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1Matt Olson doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ozzie Albies scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








