Padres at Braves
Last play · Zack Short strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves0%
SD 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 1 ATL
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd. (inning 5) — -16% Padres
5Manny Machado grounds into a force out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth out at 2nd. Manny Machado to 1st.3–1
5Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.2–1
5Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.1–1
1Matt Olson singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Ozzie Albies out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Jurickson Profar to third baseman Manny Machado.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
