Padres at Braves
Last play · Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, shortstop Orlando Arcia to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
SD 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis d'Arnaud singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Braves
5Marcell Ozuna homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.0–3
3Travis d'Arnaud singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.0–2
1Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
